FPL Dilemma – Aguero vs Jesus – Fantasy Football Tips

In this article we will compare two strikers from Manchester City, one is well known in the fantasy football world, whilst the other who is a little newer to the scene. Both started their trade in South America and rivalries don’t get much bigger than between these two countries. With that said however we are here to consider the FPL Dilemma of who should make your fantasy team – Sergio Aguero or Gabriel Fernando de Jesus?

In the 2016/17 season there were only 7 occasions where both of these players were fit during the same gameweeks, which caused much debate at the time and a FPL Dilemma of who to choose. With that said, below we will list out the pros and cons of owning either payer, whilst coming to a verdict of who should make the cut.

Without further ado, let’s analyse this FPL Dilemma…

Sergio Aguero

Priced at 11.5m, Sergio Aguero is no stranger to a seasoned fantasy football manager. At the end of the 2016/17 Premier League season Aguero was priced at 12.7m, which makes the 11.5m price appear as a bargain. During the campaign, Aguero managed to find the back of the net on 20 occasions, along with providing 5 assists and scoring a total of 175 points.

Over the past 6 seasons, Aguero has managed an average of 20.3 goals, 6.8 assists and 177 Fantasy Premier League points per season. In comparison, Costa is the only player that scored more goals than Aguero in the 2016/17 season and is priced lower than the Argentine (10.0m). We should also consider bonus points, with only Kane and Lukaku scoring more in the forward position.

In those 7 games that Aguero and Jesus were both fit, Aguero started 4 times, scoring 3 goals and assisting on 3 occasions. In this same period, Aguero had 11.2 penalty area touches, 1.8 shots on target and 1.8 chances created, per appearance made.

Gabriel Fernando de Jesus

In contrast, Jesus comes in at 10.5m, a whole 1.0m cheaper than Aguero. Although this doesn’t sound a lot, when you come to making your fantasy teams, you often find yourself 0.5m short and extremely frustrated!

Last season Jesus made 10 appearances, scoring on 7 occasions, providing 4 assists and scoring 67 points. If Jesus was available for the whole season and continued this conversion rate, he would have ended the season on 25+ goals, 15+ assists and 250+ FPL points. These sorts of numbers really do show his fantasy football potential and why he is arguably favoured by Pep Guardiola.

Once again, comparing those 7 games where they both were fit, Jesus started all 7, scoring 4 times and assisting on 3 other occasions. In this same period, Jesus had 12.2 penalty area touches, 3.3 shots on target and 3 chances created per appearance made.

The Verdict

Firstly considering those 7 games, Jesus’ underlying stats were far superior to those of Aguero, with the assists being the only stat not won as they both created 3. It should be noted however between gameweek 34 and 38, it was Aguero who came out on top for these stats. Another consideration should be penalties and there was only one penalty awarded whilst they both were on the pitch and it was Aguero who took it.

The price difference should also be a big part of the consideration and if both players were priced at 11.5m, it is likely we would see a lot more people picking the experienced Argentine. However with the potential that Jesus clearly has and the 1.0m saving, our verdict is to pick the younger Brazilian, Jesus.

Written by a Matty Kaye (@FPL_vs)

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